UCF
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 66.8695Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Jacksonv. St CUSA ( 6- 3, 65.0) 17-10 906 H No Car AT 68- 7 920 H UNC ACC ( 4- 4, 70.6) 9-34 927 A Kansas St B12 ( 4- 4, 78.9) 20-34 1004 H Kansas B12 ( 5- 4, 74.7) 20-27 1011 A Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 2, 76.6) 11-20 1018 H We Virginia B12 ( 3- 6, 73.1) 45-13 1101 A Baylor B12 ( 4- 5, 71.2) 3-30 1107 H Houston B12 ( 7- 2, 76.5) 1115 A Texas Tech B12 ( 8- 1, 99.9) 1122 H Oklahoma St B12 ( 2- 7, 61.7) 1129 A BYU B12 ( 8- 0, 88.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Jacksonv. St 17-10 7 6 1.20
920 H UNC 9-34 -25 0 --- -20.22
927 A Kansas St 20-34 -14 -16 1.97
1004 H Kansas 20-27 -7 -4 - -3.12
1011 A Cincinnati 11-20 -9 -14 ++ 4.64
1018 H We Virginia 45-13 32 -2 +++ 22.28
1101 A Baylor 3-30 -27 -8 --- -11.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H UNC 9-34 -25 0 --- -20.22 1101 A Baylor 3-30 -27 -8 --- -11.74 1004 H Kansas 20-27 -7 -4 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H We Virginia 45-13 32 -2 +++ 22.28 1011 A Cincinnati 11-20 -9 -14 ++ 4.64 |
UCF Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | UCF | UCF | ||
| California | California | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Va Tech | UCF | UCF | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | UCF | UCF | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | UCF | UCF | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | UCF | UCF | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | UCF | UCF | ||
| UAB | UCF | UCF | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | UCF | |
| TCU | TCU | TCU 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | UCF | UCF | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | UCF | UCF | ||
| Jacksonv. St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | ||
| Middle Tenn | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| NM St | UCF | UCF | ||
| SHouston St | UCF | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| UTEP | UCF | UCF | ||
| We Kentucky | UCF | UCF | ||
| UMass | UCF | UCF | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ball St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Bowl. Green | UCF | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCF | |
| Buffalo | UCF | UCF | ||
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Michigan | UCF | UCF | ||
| Kent State | UCF | UCF | ||
| MiamiOH | UCF | UCF | ||
| No Illinois | UCF | UCF | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | UCF | UCF | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | UCF | UCF | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | UCF | UCF | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Arkansas State | UCF | UCF | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | UCF | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UCF | |
| Georgia St | UCF | UCF | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | UCF | UCF | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | So Miss | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | So Miss | |
| So Alabama | UCF | UCF | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | UCF | UCF |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Jacksonv. St ( 6- 3, 65.0) 17-10 -34.90 19.09 -3.93 1.21 36.66
0 H UNC ( 4- 4, 70.6) 9-34 -29.33 24.66 -3.93 1.21 -20.10
0 A Kansas St ( 4- 4, 78.9) 20-34 -20.99 33.00 3.93 1.21 -10.31
0 H Kansas ( 5- 4, 74.7) 20-27 -25.22 28.77 -3.93 1.21 -17.62
0 A Cincinnati ( 7- 2, 76.6) 11-20 -23.32 30.67 3.93 1.21 -11.72
0 H We Virginia ( 3- 6, 73.1) 45-13 -26.82 27.17 -3.93 1.21 56.19
0 A Baylor ( 4- 5, 71.2) 3-30 -28.70 25.29 3.93 1.21 -14.97
------
18.11
|
winning pts = 92.8472 losing points = -74.7341
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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